Here's how the stock market's fear gauge can signal whether a bubble is forming - Creak News

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Here's how the stock market's fear gauge can signal whether a bubble is forming

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  • As tech stocks march to new all-time highs amid rising COVID-19 cases in the US, investors are questioning whether a speculative bubble in stocks may be forming.
  • Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, said on Tuesday that investors can look at the level of the VIX, also known as the fear index, to determine if stocks are in a speculative bubble.
  • Colas highlighted that near the peak of the the dot-com bubble, the VIX had an average reading of 24.95, relative to its since-inception average reading of 19.8, according to historical data.
  • Colas said as long as the VIX trends lower to below the 20 level, the stock market is not in a bubble.
  • The VIX registered a reading of  24.46 on Tuesday, falling 70% from its peak of 80.85 in mid-March.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

As mega-cap tech continues to command an ever-growing share of the S&P 500's total market value, and as the Nasdaq 100 index hits new highs amid rising COVID-19 cases in the US, investors are wondering if a speculative bubble in stocks is forming.

Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, said in a note on Tuesday that investors can look to the VIX, also known as the fear index, to identify whether stocks are in a bubble or not.

See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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