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- The British economy is already more than 2% smaller than it would have been had voters decided to remain in the EU, a new analysis from UBS shows.
- Using a "Frankenstein" model, which cobbles together data from other major economies, the bank's economists worked out the hit to UK growth.
- Alongside slower GDP growth, UBS said that investment, consumption, and the pound are all substantially lower than they could have been if the leave campaign had not triumphed.
You would have to look pretty hard to find an economist who believes Britain's exit from the EU will be — at least in the short and medium term — anything other than a negative for the UK economy.
With the exception of the group Economists for Brexit, every bank, research house and think-tank has modeled a significant decline in British economic output because of the Leave vote, with scenarios where the UK falls out of the EU without a deal showing significantly more economic damage.
See the rest of the story at Business Insider
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See Also:
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- REPORT: Mark Carney has been asked to extend his term as Bank of England governor as Brexit looms
- 'Everyone is seriously concerned': 2 years after its viral Brexit letter, Japan is back with another dire warning on leaving the EU
from Business Insider https://ift.tt/2PvEy41
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